Drake's UFC Betting History

Last Bet: Win: ($504K) Jon Jones To KO Stipe Miocic (UFC 309) - Sat 16-Nov-24 - Laid: $450,000 - Returned: $954,000 - 2.21 (-121)

✔️ Drake is currently 'not cursed'💀 when it comes to UFC betting.

⬆️ He's currently $858,640 up all-time from his public UFC bets

📈 Over 23 bets he has wagered $12.7M, returning $13.5M.

🎯 He's won 9 out of those 23 bets, losing 14 times. This gives him a strike rate of 39.1%. His average UFC bet size is $552K.

💀 3 UFC Athletes have been officially affected by 'The Drake Curse' from his bets: Aljamain Sterling, Israel Adesanya (x3), and Sean Strickland.

📈 His biggest single-bet victory ($1.45M) in any sport was successfully predicting that Jon Jones would submit Ciryl Gane at UFC 285 in March 2023.

🤮 Drake's biggest sports bet loss of all-time (-$1.59M) was incorrectly predicting that Israel Adesanya would beat Alex Pereira at UFC 281 in November 2022.

Last Update: 17th Nov 2024

All Drake's UFC Bets

Date Event Bet Win / Loss Laid Money Line Odds Win Probability Returned Profit / Loss
6-Mar-2022 UFC 272 Jorge Masvidal to beat Colby Covington Loss $275,000 275 26.70% $0 -$275,000
7-May-2022 UFC 274 Justin Gaethje to beat Charles Oliveira Loss $427,000 150 40.00% $0 -$427,000
2-Jul-2022 UFC 276 Israel Adesanya to beat Jared Cannonier Win $1,000,000 -350 77.80% $1,285,714 $285,714
23-Jul-2022 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall McCann & Pimblett to win Win $2,296,211 -161 61.70% $3,723,077 $1,426,866
20-Aug-2022 UFC 278 Kamaru Usman to win by KO against Leon Edwards Loss $149,000 260 27.80% $0 -$149,000
20-Aug-2022 UFC 278 Kamaru Usman to win in Round 4 against Leon Edwards Loss $49,790 1600 5.90% $0 -$49,790
20-Aug-2022 UFC 278 Jose Aldo to beat Merab Dvalishvili Loss $238,934 116 46.30% $0 -$238,934
12-Nov-2022 UFC 281 Israel Adesanya to beat Alex Pereira Loss $1,595,467 -222 69.00% $0 -$1,595,467
4-Mar-2023 UFC 285 Jon Jones to win by KO against Ciryl Gane Loss $250,000 420 19.20% $0 -$250,000
4-Mar-2023 UFC 285 Jon Jones to win by submission against Ciryl Gane Win $250,000 580 14.70% $1,700,000 $1,450,000
8-Apr-2023 UFC 287 Jorge Masvidal to beat Gilbert Burns Loss $300,000 370 21.30% $0 -$300,000
8-Apr-2023 UFC 287 Jorge Masvidal to win by KO against Gilbert Burns Loss $200,000 760 11.60% $0 -$200,000
8-Apr-2023 UFC 287 Israel Adesanya to beat Alex Pereira Win $500,000 -130 56.50% $885,000 $385,000
8-Apr-2023 UFC 287 Israel Adesanya to win by KO against Alex Pereira Win $400,000 360 21.70% $1,840,000 $1,440,000
8-Jul-2023 UFC 290 Alexander Volkanovski to beat Yair Rodriguez Win $1,000,000 -370 78.70% $1,270,000 $270,000
8-Jul-2023 UFC 290 Alexander Volkanovski to win by KO against Yair Rodriguez Win $250,000 185 35.10% $712,500 $462,500
19-Aug-2023 UFC 292 Aljamain Sterling to beat Sean O'Malley Loss $500,000 -244 70.90% $0 -$500,000
9-Sep-2023 UFC 293 Israel Adesanya to win by KO against Sean Strickland Loss $500,000 -119 54.30% $0 -$500,000
16-Dec-2023 UFC 296 Leon Edwards to win by KO against Colby Covington Loss $250,000 380 20.80% $0 -$250,000
20-Jan-2024 UFC 297 Sean Strickland to beat Dricus Du Plessis Loss $700,000 -103 50.80% $0 -$700,000
13-Apr-2024 UFC 300 Alex Pereira to win by KO against Jamahal Hill Win $675,000 -130 56.50% $1,194,750 $519,750
17-Aug-2024 UFC 305 Israel Adesanya to Beat Dricus Du Plessis Loss $450,000 -111 52.63% $0 -$450,000
16-Nov-2024 UFC 309 Jon Jones To KO Stipe Miocic Win $450,000 -121 45.2% $954,000 $504,000
Total $12,706,401 $13,565,041 $858,640

UFC Drake Curses

☠️ There have only been 5 UFC 'Drake Curses' where he lost money betting on a favorite in a fight *.

🚑 Aljamain Sterling is statistically Drake's worst beat on any sports bet he's ever placed when he lost to Sean O'Malley at UFC 292. At -244 odds, Sterling had a 70.9% win probability.

⚠️ Israel Adesanya could claim to be the biggest victim of the Drake curse, having lost three times as a favorite after being backed. His loss at UFC 281 against Alex Pereira remains Drake's biggest financial loss thus far ($1.59M).

🇳🇿 He has won 3 other bets on Adesanya, but has now lost (-$434K) from $4.4M of bets on the New Zealand MMA Star **.

😰 With 5 out of 7 official curses, UFC fighters should probably be the most nervous if they receive a pre-fight Drake endorsement.


1# Aljamain Sterling

🤼‍♂ UFC 292 - (20-Aug-23)
ML - $500,000 @ -244 (1.41)
Lost Fight with Sean O'Malley
Win Probability: 70.9%

2# Israel Adesanya

🤼‍♂ UFC 281 - (12-Nov-22)
ML - $1,595,467 @ -222 (1.45)
Lost Fight with Alex Pereira
WP: 69%

6# Israel Adesanya

🤼‍♂ UFC 293 - (9-Sep-23)
Win By KO - $500,000 @ -119 (1.84)
Lost Fight with Sean Strickland
WP: 54.3%

7# Israel Adesanya

🤼‍♂ UFC 305 - (17-Aug-24)
ML - $450,000 @ -111 (1.9)
Lost Fight with Dricus Du Plessis
WP: 52.6%

8# Sean Strickland

🤼‍♂ UFC 297 - (20-Jan-24)
ML - $700,000 @ -103 (1.97)
Lost Fight with Dricus Du Plessis
WP: 50.8%

* Favorite = minus money line / 50%+ win probability

** Adesanya is also sponsored by the same gambling company, which could explain the high activity.

Drake's UFC Bets Ranked

Rank Date Event Explained Bet Win / Loss Profit / Loss Laid Returned Money Lines Odds Win Probability
1 4-Mar-2023 UFC 285 Jon Jones to win by submission against Ciryl Gane Win $1,450,000 $250,000 $1,700,000 580 14.70%
2 8-Apr-2023 UFC 287 Israel Adesanya to win by KO against Alex Pereira Win $1,440,000 $400,000 $1,840,000 360 21.70%
3 23-Jul-2022 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall McCann & Pimblett to win Win $1,426,866 $2,296,211 $3,723,077 -161 61.70%
4 13-Apr-2024 UFC 300 Alex Pereira to win by KO against Jamahal Hill Win $519,750 $675,000 $1,194,750 -130 56.50%
5 ⭐ 16-Nov-2024 UFC 309 Jon Jones To KO Stipe Miocic Win $450,000 -121 45.2% $954,000 $504,000
6 8-Jul-2023 UFC 290 Alexander Volkanovski to win by KO against Yair Rodriguez Win $462,500 $250,000 $712,500 185 35.10%
7 8-Apr-2023 UFC 287 Israel Adesanya to beat Alex Pereira Win $385,000 $500,000 $885,000 -130 56.50%
8 2-Jul-2022 UFC 276 Israel Adesanya to beat Jared Cannonier Win $285,714 $1,000,000 $1,285,714 -350 77.80%
9 8-Jul-2023 UFC 290 Alexander Volkanovski to beat Yair Rodriguez Win $270,000 $1,000,000 $1,270,000 -370 78.70%
10 20-Aug-2022 UFC 278 Kamaru Usman to win in Round 4 against Leon Edwards Loss -$49,790 $49,790 $0 1600 5.90%
11 20-Aug-2022 UFC 278 Kamaru Usman to win by KO against Leon Edwards Loss -$149,000 $149,000 $0 260 27.80%
12 8-Apr-2023 UFC 287 Jorge Masvidal to win by KO against Gilbert Burns Loss -$200,000 $200,000 $0 760 11.60%
13 20-Aug-2022 UFC 278 Jose Aldo to beat Merab Dvalishvili Loss -$238,934 $238,934 $0 116 46.30%
14 4-Mar-2023 UFC 285 Jon Jones to win by KO against Ciryl Gane Loss -$250,000 $250,000 $0 420 19.20%
15 16-Dec-2023 UFC 296 Leon Edwards to win by KO against Colby Covington Loss -$250,000 $250,000 $0 380 20.80%
16 6-Mar-2022 UFC 272 Jorge Masvidal to beat Colby Covington Loss -$275,000 $275,000 $0 275 26.70%
17 8-Apr-2023 UFC 287 Jorge Masvidal to beat Gilbert Burns Loss -$300,000 $300,000 $0 370 21.30%
18 17-Aug-2024 UFC 305 Israel Adesanya to Beat Dricus Du Plessis Loss -$450,000 $450,000 $0 -111 52.63%
18 7-May-2022 UFC 274 Justin Gaethje to beat Charles Oliveira Loss -$427,000 $427,000 $0 150 40.00%
19 19-Aug-2023 UFC 292 Aljamain Sterling to beat Sean O'Malley Loss -$500,000 $500,000 $0 -244 70.90%
20 9-Sep-2023 UFC 293 Israel Adesanya to win by KO against Sean Strickland Loss -$500,000 $500,000 $0 -119 54.30%
21 20-Jan-2024 UFC 297 Sean Strickland to beat Dricus Du Plessis Loss -$700,000 $700,000 $0 -103 50.80%
22 12-Nov-2022 UFC 281 Israel Adesanya to beat Alex Pereira Loss -$1,595,467 $1,595,467 $0 -222 69.00%

About TheDrakeCurse.com

The Drake Curse is an independent investigation into Canadian musical artist Drake's betting habits.

We collected all publicly available and verifiable bets from the rapper's social media account, and media reports, to collate this study. Where bets were placed in Bitcoin and Canadian Dollars, we converted the amounts to the USD equivalence on the day the bet was placed.

This site doesn't offer betting or financial advice or encourage gambling. Gambling can be highly addictive, and your capital is always at risk. Think carefully before betting on anything.

This project isn't endorsed or associated with Drake or any related commercial partners.