Drake's UFC Betting History
Last Bet: Win: ($504K) Jon Jones To KO Stipe Miocic (UFC 309) - Sat 16-Nov-24 - Laid: $450,000 - Returned: $954,000 - 2.21 (-121)
✔️ Drake is currently 'not cursed'💀 when it comes to UFC betting.
⬆️ He's currently $858,640 up all-time from his public UFC bets
📈 Over 23 bets he has wagered $12.7M, returning $13.5M.
🎯 He's won 9 out of those 23 bets, losing 14 times. This gives him a strike rate of 39.1%. His average UFC bet size is $552K.
💀 3 UFC Athletes have been officially affected by 'The Drake Curse' from his bets: Aljamain Sterling, Israel Adesanya (x3), and Sean Strickland.
📈 His biggest single-bet victory ($1.45M) in any sport was successfully predicting that Jon Jones would submit Ciryl Gane at UFC 285 in March 2023.
🤮 Drake's biggest sports bet loss of all-time (-$1.59M) was incorrectly predicting that Israel Adesanya would beat Alex Pereira at UFC 281 in November 2022.
Last Update: 17th Nov 2024
| Date | Event | Bet | Win / Loss | Laid | Money Line Odds | Win Probability | Returned | Profit / Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-Mar-2022 | UFC 272 | Jorge Masvidal to beat Colby Covington | Loss | $275,000 | 275 | 26.70% | $0 | -$275,000 |
| 7-May-2022 | UFC 274 | Justin Gaethje to beat Charles Oliveira | Loss | $427,000 | 150 | 40.00% | $0 | -$427,000 |
| 2-Jul-2022 | UFC 276 | Israel Adesanya to beat Jared Cannonier | Win | $1,000,000 | -350 | 77.80% | $1,285,714 | $285,714 |
| 23-Jul-2022 | UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall | McCann & Pimblett to win | Win | $2,296,211 | -161 | 61.70% | $3,723,077 | $1,426,866 |
| 20-Aug-2022 | UFC 278 | Kamaru Usman to win by KO against Leon Edwards | Loss | $149,000 | 260 | 27.80% | $0 | -$149,000 |
| 20-Aug-2022 | UFC 278 | Kamaru Usman to win in Round 4 against Leon Edwards | Loss | $49,790 | 1600 | 5.90% | $0 | -$49,790 |
| 20-Aug-2022 | UFC 278 | Jose Aldo to beat Merab Dvalishvili | Loss | $238,934 | 116 | 46.30% | $0 | -$238,934 |
| 12-Nov-2022 | UFC 281 | Israel Adesanya to beat Alex Pereira | Loss | $1,595,467 | -222 | 69.00% | $0 | -$1,595,467 |
| 4-Mar-2023 | UFC 285 | Jon Jones to win by KO against Ciryl Gane | Loss | $250,000 | 420 | 19.20% | $0 | -$250,000 |
| 4-Mar-2023 | UFC 285 | Jon Jones to win by submission against Ciryl Gane | Win | $250,000 | 580 | 14.70% | $1,700,000 | $1,450,000 |
| 8-Apr-2023 | UFC 287 | Jorge Masvidal to beat Gilbert Burns | Loss | $300,000 | 370 | 21.30% | $0 | -$300,000 |
| 8-Apr-2023 | UFC 287 | Jorge Masvidal to win by KO against Gilbert Burns | Loss | $200,000 | 760 | 11.60% | $0 | -$200,000 |
| 8-Apr-2023 | UFC 287 | Israel Adesanya to beat Alex Pereira | Win | $500,000 | -130 | 56.50% | $885,000 | $385,000 |
| 8-Apr-2023 | UFC 287 | Israel Adesanya to win by KO against Alex Pereira | Win | $400,000 | 360 | 21.70% | $1,840,000 | $1,440,000 |
| 8-Jul-2023 | UFC 290 | Alexander Volkanovski to beat Yair Rodriguez | Win | $1,000,000 | -370 | 78.70% | $1,270,000 | $270,000 |
| 8-Jul-2023 | UFC 290 | Alexander Volkanovski to win by KO against Yair Rodriguez | Win | $250,000 | 185 | 35.10% | $712,500 | $462,500 |
| 19-Aug-2023 | UFC 292 | Aljamain Sterling to beat Sean O'Malley | Loss | $500,000 | -244 | 70.90% | $0 | -$500,000 |
| 9-Sep-2023 | UFC 293 | Israel Adesanya to win by KO against Sean Strickland | Loss | $500,000 | -119 | 54.30% | $0 | -$500,000 |
| 16-Dec-2023 | UFC 296 | Leon Edwards to win by KO against Colby Covington | Loss | $250,000 | 380 | 20.80% | $0 | -$250,000 |
| 20-Jan-2024 | UFC 297 | Sean Strickland to beat Dricus Du Plessis | Loss | $700,000 | -103 | 50.80% | $0 | -$700,000 |
| 13-Apr-2024 | UFC 300 | Alex Pereira to win by KO against Jamahal Hill | Win | $675,000 | -130 | 56.50% | $1,194,750 | $519,750 |
| 17-Aug-2024 | UFC 305 | Israel Adesanya to Beat Dricus Du Plessis | Loss | $450,000 | -111 | 52.63% | $0 | -$450,000 |
| 16-Nov-2024 | UFC 309 | Jon Jones To KO Stipe Miocic | Win | $450,000 | -121 | 45.2% | $954,000 | $504,000 |
| Total | $12,706,401 | $13,565,041 | $858,640 | |||||
☠️ There have only been 5 UFC 'Drake Curses' where he lost money betting on a favorite in a fight *.
🚑 Aljamain Sterling is statistically Drake's worst beat on any sports bet he's ever placed when he lost to Sean O'Malley at UFC 292. At -244 odds, Sterling had a 70.9% win probability.
⚠️ Israel Adesanya could claim to be the biggest victim of the Drake curse, having lost three times as a favorite after being backed. His loss at UFC 281 against Alex Pereira remains Drake's biggest financial loss thus far ($1.59M).
🇳🇿 He has won 3 other bets on Adesanya, but has now lost (-$434K) from $4.4M of bets on the New Zealand MMA Star **.
😰 With 5 out of 7 official curses, UFC fighters should probably be the most nervous if they receive a pre-fight Drake endorsement.
1# Aljamain Sterling
🤼♂ UFC 292 - (20-Aug-23)ML - $500,000 @ -244 (1.41)
Lost Fight with Sean O'Malley
Win Probability: 70.9%
2# Israel Adesanya
🤼♂ UFC 281 - (12-Nov-22)ML - $1,595,467 @ -222 (1.45)
Lost Fight with Alex Pereira
WP: 69%
6# Israel Adesanya
🤼♂ UFC 293 - (9-Sep-23)Win By KO - $500,000 @ -119 (1.84)
Lost Fight with Sean Strickland
WP: 54.3%
7# Israel Adesanya
🤼♂ UFC 305 - (17-Aug-24)ML - $450,000 @ -111 (1.9)
Lost Fight with Dricus Du Plessis
WP: 52.6%
8# Sean Strickland
🤼♂ UFC 297 - (20-Jan-24)ML - $700,000 @ -103 (1.97)
Lost Fight with Dricus Du Plessis
WP: 50.8%
* Favorite = minus money line / 50%+ win probability
** Adesanya is also sponsored by the same gambling company, which could explain the high activity.
| Rank | Date | Event | Explained Bet | Win / Loss | Profit / Loss | Laid | Returned | Money Lines Odds | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4-Mar-2023 | UFC 285 | Jon Jones to win by submission against Ciryl Gane | Win | $1,450,000 | $250,000 | $1,700,000 | 580 | 14.70% |
| 2 | 8-Apr-2023 | UFC 287 | Israel Adesanya to win by KO against Alex Pereira | Win | $1,440,000 | $400,000 | $1,840,000 | 360 | 21.70% |
| 3 | 23-Jul-2022 | UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall | McCann & Pimblett to win | Win | $1,426,866 | $2,296,211 | $3,723,077 | -161 | 61.70% |
| 4 | 13-Apr-2024 | UFC 300 | Alex Pereira to win by KO against Jamahal Hill | Win | $519,750 | $675,000 | $1,194,750 | -130 | 56.50% |
| 5 | ⭐ 16-Nov-2024 | UFC 309 | Jon Jones To KO Stipe Miocic | Win | $450,000 | -121 | 45.2% | $954,000 | $504,000 |
| 6 | 8-Jul-2023 | UFC 290 | Alexander Volkanovski to win by KO against Yair Rodriguez | Win | $462,500 | $250,000 | $712,500 | 185 | 35.10% |
| 7 | 8-Apr-2023 | UFC 287 | Israel Adesanya to beat Alex Pereira | Win | $385,000 | $500,000 | $885,000 | -130 | 56.50% |
| 8 | 2-Jul-2022 | UFC 276 | Israel Adesanya to beat Jared Cannonier | Win | $285,714 | $1,000,000 | $1,285,714 | -350 | 77.80% |
| 9 | 8-Jul-2023 | UFC 290 | Alexander Volkanovski to beat Yair Rodriguez | Win | $270,000 | $1,000,000 | $1,270,000 | -370 | 78.70% |
| 10 | 20-Aug-2022 | UFC 278 | Kamaru Usman to win in Round 4 against Leon Edwards | Loss | -$49,790 | $49,790 | $0 | 1600 | 5.90% |
| 11 | 20-Aug-2022 | UFC 278 | Kamaru Usman to win by KO against Leon Edwards | Loss | -$149,000 | $149,000 | $0 | 260 | 27.80% |
| 12 | 8-Apr-2023 | UFC 287 | Jorge Masvidal to win by KO against Gilbert Burns | Loss | -$200,000 | $200,000 | $0 | 760 | 11.60% |
| 13 | 20-Aug-2022 | UFC 278 | Jose Aldo to beat Merab Dvalishvili | Loss | -$238,934 | $238,934 | $0 | 116 | 46.30% |
| 14 | 4-Mar-2023 | UFC 285 | Jon Jones to win by KO against Ciryl Gane | Loss | -$250,000 | $250,000 | $0 | 420 | 19.20% |
| 15 | 16-Dec-2023 | UFC 296 | Leon Edwards to win by KO against Colby Covington | Loss | -$250,000 | $250,000 | $0 | 380 | 20.80% |
| 16 | 6-Mar-2022 | UFC 272 | Jorge Masvidal to beat Colby Covington | Loss | -$275,000 | $275,000 | $0 | 275 | 26.70% |
| 17 | 8-Apr-2023 | UFC 287 | Jorge Masvidal to beat Gilbert Burns | Loss | -$300,000 | $300,000 | $0 | 370 | 21.30% |
| 18 | 17-Aug-2024 | UFC 305 | Israel Adesanya to Beat Dricus Du Plessis | Loss | -$450,000 | $450,000 | $0 | -111 | 52.63% |
| 18 | 7-May-2022 | UFC 274 | Justin Gaethje to beat Charles Oliveira | Loss | -$427,000 | $427,000 | $0 | 150 | 40.00% |
| 19 | 19-Aug-2023 | UFC 292 | Aljamain Sterling to beat Sean O'Malley | Loss | -$500,000 | $500,000 | $0 | -244 | 70.90% |
| 20 | 9-Sep-2023 | UFC 293 | Israel Adesanya to win by KO against Sean Strickland | Loss | -$500,000 | $500,000 | $0 | -119 | 54.30% |
| 21 | 20-Jan-2024 | UFC 297 | Sean Strickland to beat Dricus Du Plessis | Loss | -$700,000 | $700,000 | $0 | -103 | 50.80% |
| 22 | 12-Nov-2022 | UFC 281 | Israel Adesanya to beat Alex Pereira | Loss | -$1,595,467 | $1,595,467 | $0 | -222 | 69.00% |