A decade long meme claimed rapper Drake could curse sports teams & athletes.
In February 2022, he started making $29 Million worth of outlandish sports bets.
Is he beating the allegations?
✔️ Drake is currently 'Not Cursed'💀.
⬆️ He's currently $2.2M up all-time from his public sports bets, but down -$1.3M in 2024 and -$1M from his last 10 bets.
📈 Over 67 bets he has wagered $29.3M, returning $31.6M.
🎯 He's won 25 out of those 67 bets, losing 42 times. This gives him a strike rate of 33.2%. His average bet size is $438K.
💀 6 Teams & Athletes have been officially affected by 'The Drake Curse' from his bets.
🏈 The NFL is currently his most profitable sport (+$2.1M).
⚽ Football/Soccer bets account for his most losses (-$1.9M).
🤼♂ UFC is his most bet on sport, with $12.2M laid over 22 bets.
Last Update: 18th Aug 2024
🏁 Drake initially staked $1,256,291 in Bitcoin on 13-Feb-2022.
🚀 His highest profit mark was $4,939,355 on 11-Feb-2024.
🤮 His lowest point was -$647,885 for a few hours on 7-May-2022.
📉 His worst run was between Aug-22 & Jan-23, a 9-bet losing streak where he lost $4.69M ($4,692,180).
📈 Arguably his best run started midway through UFC 287 in Apr-23 and ended in Aug-23, where he won 7 major bets in a row, banking $3.7M ($3,722,500) *
📈 2022: Made +$307K from 22 bets worth $11.2M.
📈 2023: Made +$3.27M from 32 bets worth $11.7M.
📉 2024: Currently lost -$1.3M from 12 bets worth $6.4M.
⬆️ He's currently $2.2M ($2,264,105) up all-time from his public sports bets.
📈 Over 67 bets he has wagered $29.3M ($29,351,390), returning $31.6M ($31,615,495).
* Technically, he lost $45K in 3 long-odds ‘correct round’ bets during Gervonta Davis vs. Ryan Garcia but won $380K in his main bet on the fight.
☠️ There have only been 7 'Drake Curses' where he lost money betting on a favorite *.
🚑 Aljamain Sterling is statistically Drake's worst beat on any sports bet he's ever placed when he lost to Sean O'Malley at UFC 292. At -244 odds, Sterling had a 70.9% win probability.
⚠️ Israel Adesanya could claim to be the biggest victim of the Drake curse, having lost three times as a favorite after being backed. His loss at UFC 281 against Alex Pereira remains Drake's biggest financial loss thus far ($1.59M).
🇳🇿 He has won 3 other bets on Adesanya, but has now lost (-$434K) from $4.4M of bets on the New Zealand MMA Star **.
😈 The Duke Blue Devils men's basketball team (Duke University) is the most Drake-cursed team in sports. After Drake backed them in the 2023 NCAA Final Four, they lost to North Carolina rivals the Tar Heels, despite having a 65.8% win probability.
😰 With 5 out of 8 official curses, UFC fighters should probably be the most nervous if they receive a pre-fight Drake endorsement.
1# Aljamain Sterling
🤼♂ UFC 292 - (20-Aug-23)ML - $500,000 @ -244 (1.41)
Lost Fight with Sean O'Malley
Win Probability: 70.9%
2# Israel Adesanya
🤼♂ UFC 281 - (12-Nov-22)ML - $1,595,467 @ -222 (1.45)
Lost Fight with Alex Pereira
WP: 69%
3# Duke Blue Devils
🏀 NCAA Tournament - Final Four - (3-Apr-23)ML - $79,879 @ -192 (1.52)
Lost To North Carolina Tar Heels
WP: 65.8%
4# Tyson Fury
🥊 Fury vs Usyk - (18-May-24)ML - $565,000 @ -130 (1.77)
Lost Fight with Oleksandr Usyk
WP: 56.5%
5# Odell Beckham Jr
🏈 Super Bowl 2022 - (13-Feb-22)Have over 62.5 receiving yards - $392,591 @ -123 (1.81)
Unable To Finish Game Due To Injury
WP: 55.2%
6# Israel Adesanya
🤼♂ UFC 293 - (9-Sep-23)Win By KO - $500,000 @ -119 (1.84)
Lost Fight with Sean Strickland
WP: 54.3%
7# Israel Adesanya
🤼♂ UFC 305 - (17-Aug-24)ML - $450,000 @ -111 (1.9)
Lost Fight with Dricus Du Plessis
WP: 52.6%
8# Sean Strickland
🤼♂ UFC 297 - (20-Jan-24)ML - $700,000 @ -103 (1.97)
Lost Fight with Dricus Du Plessis
WP: 50.8%
* Favorite = minus money line / 50%+ win probability
** Adesanya is also sponsored by the same gambling company, which could explain the high activity.
📋 Drake has placed bets on 9 different sports. *
🤼♂ UFC is his most bet on sport, having laid $12.2M ($11,806,401) over 22 bets. **
🏈 NFL is currently his most profitable sport (+$2.1M).
🏒 NHL is the sport that has provided the best returns for him, nearly double all money placed on the (91.3% ROI).
🏒 Although that might seem like his Canadian heritage shining through, his biggest recorded win (+$2.35M) involved a parlay with two NHL teams, which skews the data a little.
⚽ Football/Soccer bets account for his most losses (-$1.9M), over just 3 bets.
🥊 Boxing is his 3rd most heavily backed sport, but has seen him lose just short of $1M (-$993K).
🏏 Started betting on Cricket in 2024, with good early success.
| Sport | Bet INV | Wins | Losses | Strike Rate | Profit / Loss | Laid | Returned | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏈 NFL | 15 | 6 | 9 | 40% | $2,140,509 | $5,629,936 | $7,770,446 | 38.02% |
| 🏀 Basketball | 12 | 6 | 6 | 50% | $1,386,342 | $3,241,516 | $4,627,858 | 42.77% |
| 🏒 NHL | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | $1,210,913 | $1,328,737 | $2,539,650 | 91.13% |
| 🏏 Cricket | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | $435,000 | $900,000 | $1,335,000 | 48.33% |
| 🤼♂ UFC | 22 | 8 | 14 | 36.4% | $354,640 | $12,256,401 | $12,611,041 | 2.89% |
| ⚾ MLB | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | -$136,055 | $136,055 | $0 | |
| 🏁 F1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | -$233,400 | $233,400 | $0 | |
| 🥊 Boxing | 9 | 2 | 7 | 22% | -$993,500 | $3,725,000 | $2,731,500 | -26.67% |
| ⚽ Soccer | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | -$1,900,345 | $1,900,345 | $0 | |
| Total | 69 | 26 | 42 | 33.2% | $2,264,105 | $29,351,390 | $31,615,495 | 7.71% |
* Where parlays involved multiple sports, the probability of each leg was used to assign the sport's percentage profit and loss on that slip. This increased bet involvements and decreased the average strike rate compared to the whole betting record.
** The UFC is also partnered with the same gambling company, which could explain the high activity.
💸 Drake's biggest win was a 3-legged NHL and NBA parlay placed in May 2022, which he profited $2.35M from just $308K.
📈 His biggest single-bet victory ($1.45M) was successfully predicting that Jon Jones would submit Ciryl Gane at UFC 285 in March 2023.
💰 He has won over a million dollars 5 times.
🏈 He bagged 2 of his biggest wins in the last two NFL Super Bowls.
💱 Although 3 of his top 4 biggest wins involve UFC betting, 4 of his top 10 losses are also UFC bets.
| Rank | Date | Event | Profit | Bet | Money Line Odds | Win Probability | Laid | Returned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16-May-2022 | 🏒🏀 Parlay | $2,358,215 | Dallas Mavericks To Beat Phoenix Suns New York Rangers To Beat Pittsburgh Penguins Calgary Flames To Beat Dallas Stars |
764 | 11.60% | $308,833 | $2,667,048 |
| 2 | 4-Mar-2023 | 🤼♂ UFC 285 | $1,450,000 | Jon Jones To Submit Ciryl Gane | 580 | 14.70% | $250,000 | $1,700,000 |
| 3 | 8-Apr-2023 | 🤼♂ UFC 287 | $1,440,000 | Israel Adesanya To KO Alex Pereira | 360 | 21.70% | $400,000 | $1,840,000 |
| 4 | 23-Jul-2022 | 🤼♂ UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall | $1,426,866 | Paddy Pimblett & Molly McCann To Beat Jordan Lavitt & Hannah Goldy | -161 | 61.70% | $2,296,211 | $3,723,077 |
| 5 | 11-Feb-2024 | 🏈 Super Bowl 2024 | $1,196,000 | Kansas City Chiefs To Beat San Francisco 49ers | 104 | 49.00% | $1,150,000 | $2,346,000 |
| 6 | 29-Jan-2023 | 🏈 AFC Championship | $957,000 | Kansas City Chiefs To Beat Cincinnati Bengals | -115 | 53.50% | $1,100,000 | $2,057,000 |
| 7 | 12-May-2022 | 🏒 NHL Playoffs 2021/22 | $800,000 | Tampa Bay Lighting vs Toronto Maple Leafs To Be A 7-Game Series | 200 | 33.30% | $400,000 | $1,200,000 |
| 8 | 12-Feb-2023 | 🏈 Super Bowl 2023 | $777,000 | Kansas City Chiefs To Beat Philadelphia Eagles | 111 | 47.40% | $700,000 | $1,477,000 |
| 9 | 18-Jun-2022 | 🏀 NBA Western Conference | $610,668 | Golden State Warriors Conference Winners | 400 | 20.00% | $156,500 | $767,168 |
| 10 | 1-Jun-2023 | 🏀 NBA Play Offs 22/23 | $600,000 | Denver Nuggets To Beat Miami Heat 4-1 In Series | 240 | 29.40% | $250,000 | $850,000 |
🤮 Drake's biggest sports bet loss (-$1.59M) was incorrectly predicting that Israel Adesanya would beat Alex Pereira at UFC 281 in November 2022.
⚽ He infamously correctly predicted that Argentina would win the 2022 World Cup Final, but bet they would do so within 90 minutes. He lost (-$1M) as they needed extra time to beat France.
🌠 UFC dominates his most heavy losses, with 4 out of the top 10 positions. Despite that he is $804K in profit from all 21 of his UFC bets.
❌ Despite only betting on Soccer 3 times, the sport accounts for 2 of his biggest all-time losses.
💰 He has lost over a million dollars 2 times.
| Rank | Date | Event | Loss | Bet | Money Lines Odds | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12-Nov-2022 | 🤼♂ UFC 281 | -$1,595,467 | Israel Adesanya To Beat Alex Pereira | -222 | 69.00% |
| 2 | 18-Dec-2022 | ⚽ World Cup 2022 | -$1,000,000 | Argentina To Beat France (in 90 Mins) | 175 | 36.40% |
| 3 | 29-Jan-2023 | 🏈 NFC Championship | -$850,000 | San Francisco 49ers To Beat Philadelphia Eagles | 125 | 44.40% |
| 4 | 20-Jan-2024 | 🤼♂ UFC 297 | -$700,000 | Sean Strickland To Beat Dricus Du Plessis | -103 | 50.80% |
| 5 | 8-Mar-2024 | 🥊 Joshua vs Ngannou | -$615,000 | Francis Ngannou To Beat Anthony Joshua | 210 | 32.30% |
| 6 | 16-Oct-2022 | ⚽ Premier League / La Liga Parlay | -$600,345 | Arsenal & Barcelona To Beat Leeds & Real Madrid | 368 | 21.40% |
| 7 | 18-May-2024 | 🥊 Fury vs Usyk | -$565,000 | Tyson Fury To Beat Oleksandr Usyk | -130 | 56.50% |
| 8 | 19-Aug-2023 | 🤼♂ UFC 292 | -$500,000 | Aljamain Sterling To Beat Sean O'Malley | -244 | 70.90% |
| 9 | 9-Sep-2023 | 🤼♂ UFC 293 | -$500,000 | Israel Adesanya To KO Sean Strickland | -119 | 54.30% |
| 10 | 6-Jun-2024 | 🏀 NBA Play Offs 23/24 | -$500,000 | Dallas Mavericks Win Series Against Boston Celtics | 175 | 36.40% |
🏁 Drake has placed 9 bets over 1 Million US dollars.
🏆 He's won 7 out of 9 of those bets.
☔ He plays it nearly twice as safe when betting big, with million-dollar bets having a win probability of 64.4%, versus his average of 35.9%.
💰 His average overall bet size is $418K.
💸 His biggest average bets per sport are Soccer ($633K), UFC ($557K), and Cricket ($450K).
| Date | Event | Bet | Win / Loss | Laid | Money Lines Odds | Win Probability | Returned | Profit / Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23-Jul-2022 | 🤼♂ UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall | Paddy Pimblett & Molly McCann To Beat Jordan Lavitt Hannah Goldy | Win | $2,296,211 | -161 | 61.70% | $3,723,077 | $1,426,866 |
| 12-Nov-2022 | 🤼♂ UFC 281 | Israel Adesanya To Beat Alex Pereira | Loss | $1,595,467 | -222 | 69.00% | $0 | -$1,595,467 |
| 11-Feb-2024 | 🏈 Super Bowl 2024 | Kansas City Chiefs to Beat San Francisco 49ers | Win | $1,150,000 | 104 | 49.00% | $2,346,000 | $1,196,000 |
| 29-Jan-2023 | 🏈 AFC Championship | Kansas City Chiefs To Beat Cincinnati Bengals | Win | $1,100,000 | -115 | 53.50% | $2,057,000 | $957,000 |
| 2-Jul-2022 | 🤼♂ UFC 276 | Israel Adesanya To Beat Jared Cannonier | Win | $1,000,000 | -350 | 77.80% | $1,285,714 | $285,714 |
| 18-Dec-2022 | ⚽ World Cup 22 | Argentina To Beat France (in 90 Mins) | Loss | $1,000,000 | 175 | 36.40% | $0 | -$1,000,000 |
| 22-Apr-2023 | 🥊 Davis vs Garcia | Gervonta Davis To Beat Ryan Garcia | Win | $1,000,000 | -263 | 72.50% | $1,380,000 | $380,000 |
| 1-Jun-2023 | 🏀 NBA Play Offs 22/23 | Denver Nuggets To Beat Miami Heat In Series | Win | $1,000,000 | -435 | 81.30% | $1,230,000 | $230,000 |
| 8-Jul-2023 | 🤼♂ UFC 290 | Alexander Volkanovski To Beat Yair Rodriguez | Win | $1,000,000 | -370 | 78.70% | $1,270,000 | $270,000 |
What if Drake took a lower-risk option with his initial money?*
😵 Drake's high-risk sports gambling is outperforming Bitcoin, S&P 500 & TSX, as of August 2024.
🏁 Drake initially staked $1,256,291 in Bitcoin on 13-Feb-2022, and his P&L float sits at $3,520,396 (+$2,264,105 - 180% ROI)
₿ Holding that initial Bitcoin would be worth $1,766,462 today (+$425,708 - 40.6% ROI)
🗽 Investing that amount in the S&P 500 would have returned $1,568,601 (+$312,310 - 24.8% ROI).
🍁 Investing that capital in the TSX (Candian stock market) would have returned $1,352,522 (+$96,231 - 7.66%).
* All figures correct to 18-Aug-24
📉 Drake's currently down -$779K (-$779,250) from his last 10 bets.
📒 He has made bets 67 times on 49 individual events or same-day tournaments since February 2022.
📅 He places bets on events every 19.5 days on average.
📑 You can view his full sport bet history from each indivdual sport page in the site menu.
| Date | Event | Bet | Win / Loss | Laid | Money Lines Odds | Win Probability | Returned | Profit / Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17-Aug-2024 | 🤼♂ UFC 305 | Israel Adesanya to Beat Dricus Du Plessis | Loss | $450,000 | -111 | 52.63% | $0 | -$450,000 |
| 8-July-2024 | ⚽ Copa America 24 Semifinal | Canada To Beat Argentina | Loss | $300,000 | 860 | 10.40% | $0 | -$300,000 |
| 9-June-2024 | 🏏 T20 World Cup 2024 | India To Beat Pakistan | Win | $650,000 | -250 | 71.40% | $910,000 | $260,000 |
| 6-June-2024 | 🏀 NBA Play Offs 23/24 | Dallas Mavericks Win Series vs Boston Celtics | Loss | $500,000 | 175 | 36.40% | $0 | -$500,000 |
| 6-June-2024 | 🏒 NHL Playoffs 23/24 | Edmonton Oilers To Beat Florida Panthers | Loss | $500,000 | 105 | 48.80% | $0 | -$500,000 |
| 26-May-2024 | 🏏 IPL Final 2024 | Kolkata Knight Riders To Beat Sunrisers Hyderabad | Win | $250,000 | -143 | 58.80% | $425,000 | $175,000 |
| 18-May-2024 | 🥊 Fury vs Usyk | Tyson Fury To Beat Oleksandr Usyk | Loss | $565,000 | -130 | 56.50% | $0 | -$565,000 |
| 13-Apr-2024 | 🤼♂ UFC 300 | Alex Pereira To KO Jamahal Hill | Win | $675,000 | -130 | 56.50% | $1,194,750 | $519,750 |
| 8-Mar-2024 | 🥊 Joshua vs Ngannou | Francis Ngannou To Beat Anthony Joshua | Loss | $615,000 | 210 | 32.30% | $0 | -$615,000 |
| 11-Feb-2024 | 🏈 Super Bowl 2024 | Kansas City Chiefs To Beat San Francisco 49ers | Win | $1,150,000 | 104 | 49.00% | $2,346,000 | $1,196,000 |
| 20-Jan-2024 | 🤼♂ UFC 297 | Sean Strickland To Beat Dricus Du Plessis | Loss | $700,000 | -103 | 50.80% | $0 | -$700,000 |