A decade long meme claimed rapper Drake could curse sports teams & athletes.

In February 2022, he started making $29 Million worth of outlandish sports bets.

Is he beating the allegations?

Overview & Current Status

✔️ Drake is currently 'Not Cursed'💀.

⬆️ He's currently $2.2M up all-time from his public sports bets, but down -$1.3M in 2024 and -$1M from his last 10 bets.

📈 Over 67 bets he has wagered $29.3M, returning $31.6M.

🎯 He's won 25 out of those 67 bets, losing 42 times. This gives him a strike rate of 33.2%. His average bet size is $438K.

💀 6 Teams & Athletes have been officially affected by 'The Drake Curse' from his bets.

🏈 The NFL is currently his most profitable sport (+$2.1M).

⚽ Football/Soccer bets account for his most losses (-$1.9M).

🤼‍♂ UFC is his most bet on sport, with $12.2M laid over 22 bets.

Last Update: 18th Aug 2024

Running Profit & Loss

🏁 Drake initially staked $1,256,291 in Bitcoin on 13-Feb-2022.

🚀 His highest profit mark was $4,939,355 on 11-Feb-2024.

🤮 His lowest point was -$647,885 for a few hours on 7-May-2022.

📉 His worst run was between Aug-22 & Jan-23, a 9-bet losing streak where he lost $4.69M ($4,692,180).

📈 Arguably his best run started midway through UFC 287 in Apr-23 and ended in Aug-23, where he won 7 major bets in a row, banking $3.7M ($3,722,500) *

📈 2022: Made +$307K from 22 bets worth $11.2M.

📈 2023: Made +$3.27M from 32 bets worth $11.7M.

📉 2024: Currently lost -$1.3M from 12 bets worth $6.4M.

⬆️ He's currently $2.2M ($2,264,105) up all-time from his public sports bets.

📈 Over 67 bets he has wagered $29.3M ($29,351,390), returning $31.6M ($31,615,495).

* Technically, he lost $45K in 3 long-odds ‘correct round’ bets during Gervonta Davis vs. Ryan Garcia but won $380K in his main bet on the fight.

Actual Drake Curses

☠️ There have only been 7 'Drake Curses' where he lost money betting on a favorite *.

🚑 Aljamain Sterling is statistically Drake's worst beat on any sports bet he's ever placed when he lost to Sean O'Malley at UFC 292. At -244 odds, Sterling had a 70.9% win probability.

⚠️ Israel Adesanya could claim to be the biggest victim of the Drake curse, having lost three times as a favorite after being backed. His loss at UFC 281 against Alex Pereira remains Drake's biggest financial loss thus far ($1.59M).

🇳🇿 He has won 3 other bets on Adesanya, but has now lost (-$434K) from $4.4M of bets on the New Zealand MMA Star **.

😈 The Duke Blue Devils men's basketball team (Duke University) is the most Drake-cursed team in sports. After Drake backed them in the 2023 NCAA Final Four, they lost to North Carolina rivals the Tar Heels, despite having a 65.8% win probability.

😰 With 5 out of 8 official curses, UFC fighters should probably be the most nervous if they receive a pre-fight Drake endorsement.


1# Aljamain Sterling

🤼‍♂ UFC 292 - (20-Aug-23)
ML - $500,000 @ -244 (1.41)
Lost Fight with Sean O'Malley
Win Probability: 70.9%

2# Israel Adesanya

🤼‍♂ UFC 281 - (12-Nov-22)
ML - $1,595,467 @ -222 (1.45)
Lost Fight with Alex Pereira
WP: 69%

3# Duke Blue Devils

🏀 NCAA Tournament - Final Four - (3-Apr-23)
ML - $79,879 @ -192 (1.52)
Lost To North Carolina Tar Heels
WP: 65.8%

4# Tyson Fury

🥊 Fury vs Usyk - (18-May-24)
ML - $565,000 @ -130 (1.77)
Lost Fight with Oleksandr Usyk
WP: 56.5%

5# Odell Beckham Jr

🏈 Super Bowl 2022 - (13-Feb-22)
Have over 62.5 receiving yards - $392,591 @ -123 (1.81)
Unable To Finish Game Due To Injury
WP: 55.2%

6# Israel Adesanya

🤼‍♂ UFC 293 - (9-Sep-23)
Win By KO - $500,000 @ -119 (1.84)
Lost Fight with Sean Strickland
WP: 54.3%

7# Israel Adesanya

🤼‍♂ UFC 305 - (17-Aug-24)
ML - $450,000 @ -111 (1.9)
Lost Fight with Dricus Du Plessis
WP: 52.6%

8# Sean Strickland

🤼‍♂ UFC 297 - (20-Jan-24)
ML - $700,000 @ -103 (1.97)
Lost Fight with Dricus Du Plessis
WP: 50.8%

* Favorite = minus money line / 50%+ win probability

** Adesanya is also sponsored by the same gambling company, which could explain the high activity.

Performance By Sport

📋 Drake has placed bets on 9 different sports. *

🤼‍♂ UFC is his most bet on sport, having laid $12.2M ($11,806,401) over 22 bets. **

🏈 NFL is currently his most profitable sport (+$2.1M).

🏒 NHL is the sport that has provided the best returns for him, nearly double all money placed on the (91.3% ROI).

🏒 Although that might seem like his Canadian heritage shining through, his biggest recorded win (+$2.35M) involved a parlay with two NHL teams, which skews the data a little.

⚽ Football/Soccer bets account for his most losses (-$1.9M), over just 3 bets.

🥊 Boxing is his 3rd most heavily backed sport, but has seen him lose just short of $1M (-$993K).

🏏 Started betting on Cricket in 2024, with good early success.

Sport Bet INV Wins Losses Strike Rate Profit / Loss Laid Returned ROI
🏈 NFL 15 6 9 40% $2,140,509 $5,629,936 $7,770,446 38.02%
🏀 Basketball 12 6 6 50% $1,386,342 $3,241,516 $4,627,858 42.77%
🏒 NHL 4 2 2 50% $1,210,913 $1,328,737 $2,539,650 91.13%
🏏 Cricket 2 2 0 100% $435,000 $900,000 $1,335,000 48.33%
🤼‍♂ UFC 22 8 14 36.4% $354,640 $12,256,401 $12,611,041 2.89%
⚾ MLB 1 0 1 0% -$136,055 $136,055 $0
🏁 F1 1 0 1 0% -$233,400 $233,400 $0
🥊 Boxing 9 2 7 22% -$993,500 $3,725,000 $2,731,500 -26.67%
⚽ Soccer 3 0 3 0% -$1,900,345 $1,900,345 $0
Total 69 26 42 33.2% $2,264,105 $29,351,390 $31,615,495 7.71%

* Where parlays involved multiple sports, the probability of each leg was used to assign the sport's percentage profit and loss on that slip. This increased bet involvements and decreased the average strike rate compared to the whole betting record.

** The UFC is also partnered with the same gambling company, which could explain the high activity.

Drake's Top 10 Biggest Wins

💸 Drake's biggest win was a 3-legged NHL and NBA parlay placed in May 2022, which he profited $2.35M from just $308K.

📈 His biggest single-bet victory ($1.45M) was successfully predicting that Jon Jones would submit Ciryl Gane at UFC 285 in March 2023.

💰 He has won over a million dollars 5 times.

🏈 He bagged 2 of his biggest wins in the last two NFL Super Bowls.

💱 Although 3 of his top 4 biggest wins involve UFC betting, 4 of his top 10 losses are also UFC bets.

Rank Date Event Profit Bet Money Line Odds Win Probability Laid Returned
1 16-May-2022 🏒🏀 Parlay $2,358,215 Dallas Mavericks To Beat Phoenix Suns
New York Rangers To Beat Pittsburgh Penguins
Calgary Flames To Beat Dallas Stars
764 11.60% $308,833 $2,667,048
2 4-Mar-2023 🤼‍♂ UFC 285 $1,450,000 Jon Jones To Submit Ciryl Gane 580 14.70% $250,000 $1,700,000
3 8-Apr-2023 🤼‍♂ UFC 287 $1,440,000 Israel Adesanya To KO Alex Pereira 360 21.70% $400,000 $1,840,000
4 23-Jul-2022 🤼‍♂ UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall $1,426,866 Paddy Pimblett & Molly McCann To Beat Jordan Lavitt & Hannah Goldy -161 61.70% $2,296,211 $3,723,077
5 11-Feb-2024 🏈 Super Bowl 2024 $1,196,000 Kansas City Chiefs To Beat San Francisco 49ers 104 49.00% $1,150,000 $2,346,000
6 29-Jan-2023 🏈 AFC Championship $957,000 Kansas City Chiefs To Beat Cincinnati Bengals -115 53.50% $1,100,000 $2,057,000
7 12-May-2022 🏒 NHL Playoffs 2021/22 $800,000 Tampa Bay Lighting vs Toronto Maple Leafs To Be A 7-Game Series 200 33.30% $400,000 $1,200,000
8 12-Feb-2023 🏈 Super Bowl 2023 $777,000 Kansas City Chiefs To Beat Philadelphia Eagles 111 47.40% $700,000 $1,477,000
9 18-Jun-2022 🏀 NBA Western Conference $610,668 Golden State Warriors Conference Winners 400 20.00% $156,500 $767,168
10 1-Jun-2023 🏀 NBA Play Offs 22/23 $600,000 Denver Nuggets To Beat Miami Heat 4-1 In Series 240 29.40% $250,000 $850,000

Drake's Top 10 Biggest Losses

🤮 Drake's biggest sports bet loss (-$1.59M) was incorrectly predicting that Israel Adesanya would beat Alex Pereira at UFC 281 in November 2022.

⚽ He infamously correctly predicted that Argentina would win the 2022 World Cup Final, but bet they would do so within 90 minutes. He lost (-$1M) as they needed extra time to beat France.

🌠 UFC dominates his most heavy losses, with 4 out of the top 10 positions. Despite that he is $804K in profit from all 21 of his UFC bets.

❌ Despite only betting on Soccer 3 times, the sport accounts for 2 of his biggest all-time losses.

💰 He has lost over a million dollars 2 times.

Rank Date Event Loss Bet Money Lines Odds Win Probability
1 12-Nov-2022 🤼‍♂ UFC 281 -$1,595,467 Israel Adesanya To Beat Alex Pereira -222 69.00%
2 18-Dec-2022 ⚽ World Cup 2022 -$1,000,000 Argentina To Beat France (in 90 Mins) 175 36.40%
3 29-Jan-2023 🏈 NFC Championship -$850,000 San Francisco 49ers To Beat Philadelphia Eagles 125 44.40%
4 20-Jan-2024 🤼‍♂ UFC 297 -$700,000 Sean Strickland To Beat Dricus Du Plessis -103 50.80%
5 8-Mar-2024 🥊 Joshua vs Ngannou -$615,000 Francis Ngannou To Beat Anthony Joshua 210 32.30%
6 16-Oct-2022 ⚽ Premier League / La Liga Parlay -$600,345 Arsenal & Barcelona To Beat Leeds & Real Madrid 368 21.40%
7 18-May-2024 🥊 Fury vs Usyk -$565,000 Tyson Fury To Beat Oleksandr Usyk -130 56.50%
8 19-Aug-2023 🤼‍♂ UFC 292 -$500,000 Aljamain Sterling To Beat Sean O'Malley -244 70.90%
9 9-Sep-2023 🤼‍♂ UFC 293 -$500,000 Israel Adesanya To KO Sean Strickland -119 54.30%
10 6-Jun-2024 🏀 NBA Play Offs 23/24 -$500,000 Dallas Mavericks Win Series Against Boston Celtics 175 36.40%

Million Dollar Bets & Averages

🏁 Drake has placed 9 bets over 1 Million US dollars.

🏆 He's won 7 out of 9 of those bets.

☔ He plays it nearly twice as safe when betting big, with million-dollar bets having a win probability of 64.4%, versus his average of 35.9%.

💰 His average overall bet size is $418K.

💸 His biggest average bets per sport are Soccer ($633K), UFC ($557K), and Cricket ($450K).

Date Event Bet Win / Loss Laid Money Lines Odds Win Probability Returned Profit / Loss
23-Jul-2022 🤼‍♂ UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall Paddy Pimblett & Molly McCann To Beat Jordan Lavitt Hannah Goldy Win $2,296,211 -161 61.70% $3,723,077 $1,426,866
12-Nov-2022 🤼‍♂ UFC 281 Israel Adesanya To Beat Alex Pereira Loss $1,595,467 -222 69.00% $0 -$1,595,467
11-Feb-2024 🏈 Super Bowl 2024 Kansas City Chiefs to Beat San Francisco 49ers Win $1,150,000 104 49.00% $2,346,000 $1,196,000
29-Jan-2023 🏈 AFC Championship Kansas City Chiefs To Beat Cincinnati Bengals Win $1,100,000 -115 53.50% $2,057,000 $957,000
2-Jul-2022 🤼‍♂ UFC 276 Israel Adesanya To Beat Jared Cannonier Win $1,000,000 -350 77.80% $1,285,714 $285,714
18-Dec-2022 ⚽ World Cup 22 Argentina To Beat France (in 90 Mins) Loss $1,000,000 175 36.40% $0 -$1,000,000
22-Apr-2023 🥊 Davis vs Garcia Gervonta Davis To Beat Ryan Garcia Win $1,000,000 -263 72.50% $1,380,000 $380,000
1-Jun-2023 🏀 NBA Play Offs 22/23 Denver Nuggets To Beat Miami Heat In Series Win $1,000,000 -435 81.30% $1,230,000 $230,000
8-Jul-2023 🤼‍♂ UFC 290 Alexander Volkanovski To Beat Yair Rodriguez Win $1,000,000 -370 78.70% $1,270,000 $270,000

What If?

What if Drake took a lower-risk option with his initial money?*


😵 Drake's high-risk sports gambling is outperforming Bitcoin, S&P 500 & TSX, as of August 2024.

🏁 Drake initially staked $1,256,291 in Bitcoin on 13-Feb-2022, and his P&L float sits at $3,520,396 (+$2,264,105 - 180% ROI)

₿ Holding that initial Bitcoin would be worth $1,766,462 today (+$425,708 - 40.6% ROI)

🗽 Investing that amount in the S&P 500 would have returned $1,568,601 (+$312,310 - 24.8% ROI).

🍁 Investing that capital in the TSX (Candian stock market) would have returned $1,352,522 (+$96,231 - 7.66%).

* All figures correct to 18-Aug-24

Latest Drake Bets (Last 10)

📉 Drake's currently down -$779K (-$779,250) from his last 10 bets.

📒 He has made bets 67 times on 49 individual events or same-day tournaments since February 2022.

📅 He places bets on events every 19.5 days on average.

📑 You can view his full sport bet history from each indivdual sport page in the site menu.

Date Event Bet Win / Loss Laid Money Lines Odds Win Probability Returned Profit / Loss
17-Aug-2024 🤼‍♂ UFC 305 Israel Adesanya to Beat Dricus Du Plessis Loss $450,000 -111 52.63% $0 -$450,000
8-July-2024 ⚽ Copa America 24 Semifinal Canada To Beat Argentina Loss $300,000 860 10.40% $0 -$300,000
9-June-2024 🏏 T20 World Cup 2024 India To Beat Pakistan Win $650,000 -250 71.40% $910,000 $260,000
6-June-2024 🏀 NBA Play Offs 23/24 Dallas Mavericks Win Series vs Boston Celtics Loss $500,000 175 36.40% $0 -$500,000
6-June-2024 🏒 NHL Playoffs 23/24 Edmonton Oilers To Beat Florida Panthers Loss $500,000 105 48.80% $0 -$500,000
26-May-2024 🏏 IPL Final 2024 Kolkata Knight Riders To Beat Sunrisers Hyderabad Win $250,000 -143 58.80% $425,000 $175,000
18-May-2024 🥊 Fury vs Usyk Tyson Fury To Beat Oleksandr Usyk Loss $565,000 -130 56.50% $0 -$565,000
13-Apr-2024 🤼‍♂ UFC 300 Alex Pereira To KO Jamahal Hill Win $675,000 -130 56.50% $1,194,750 $519,750
8-Mar-2024 🥊 Joshua vs Ngannou Francis Ngannou To Beat Anthony Joshua Loss $615,000 210 32.30% $0 -$615,000
11-Feb-2024 🏈 Super Bowl 2024 Kansas City Chiefs To Beat San Francisco 49ers Win $1,150,000 104 49.00% $2,346,000 $1,196,000
20-Jan-2024 🤼‍♂ UFC 297 Sean Strickland To Beat Dricus Du Plessis Loss $700,000 -103 50.80% $0 -$700,000

About TheDrakeCurse.com

The Drake Curse is an independent investigation into Canadian musical artist Drake's betting habits.

We collected all publicly available and verifiable bets from the rapper's social media account, and media reports, to collate this study. Where bets were placed in Bitcoin and Canadian Dollars, we converted the amounts to the USD equivalence on the day the bet was placed.

This site doesn't offer betting or financial advice or encourage gambling. Gambling can be highly addictive, and your capital is always at risk. Think carefully before betting on anything.

This project isn't endorsed or associated with Drake or any related commercial partners.